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With Tampa Bay Bucs' Tom Brady becoming the all-time pass leader, who's next?

Even with the NFL moving to a 17-game regular season (the record counts only regular-season passing yards), it may be awhile -- especially if Brady continues to play. Sale 12 Tom Brady NFL Jerseys, He’s indicated he may be open to playing past age 45 and possibly even until he’s 50 Sale Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Jerseys, .

Taking the closest active quarterbacks on the list, ESPN Statistics & Information simulated models on how long it would take for them to catch Brad Buy NFL kids jerseys, y. For purposes of this exercise, we did two projections: Brady playing through the 2022 season, which is when his current contract ends with the Bucs, and should he decide to play even longer, we pushed it to 20 Discount NFL Jerseys, 23.

First, we took the average number of passing yards per game over the last five seasons for Brady to get an estimate of what his numbers would look like after both the 2022 and 2023 seasons. From 2017-2021, Brady averaged 279.09 yards per game, so if he played through 2022, his number would be 88,930 yards. If he played through 2023, it’d be 93,673 yards.

Then we identified the players closest to Brady, subtracted their current career totals from each of Brady’s two projected totals and divided those by each player’s five-season yards per game average. We also took that value, subtracted it by 13 (games remaining in 2021) and divided it by 17 to get the number of seasons to catch Brady.

This exercise assumes all play the remaining games this year and 17 games each season after, although the chances of that happening in a contact sport, even with NFL leaning more and more towards protecting the quarterback, makes that unlikely that one plays in every single game.

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